That's the problem with revolutionary movements. They're just so damn political. Can you imagine any worse way to attempt to design and implement a cease-fire than through a revolutionary central committee?
And how about the particularly petty and sullen moves by Fatah to deny the credibility of the truce because of the back channel communications hat engineered it, and then try to sabotagea cease-fire by introducing language considered unacceptable by Hamas and Islamic Jihad?
But what I find particularly fascinating about this three-month cease-fire is that it coincides with an Israeli pullback (agreed in principle) from the Gaza Strip will begin tonight, Sunday 06/29/03. Israelis will begin handing over security concerns to Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, as part of the "Road Map." Notice: they will not be withdrawing from the West Bank.
Prior to this understanding between the parties, I had expressed my frustration around the dinner table with Hamas and Islamic Jihad ("Just when there is a glimmer of hope for their cause, the Palestinians shoot themselves in the foot, yet again!"), and Israeli pigheadedness, ("Do they really believe that 'targeted killings' is anything other than murder?"). Now it seems that the "cycle of violence" really is a finely-nuanced process of negotiation.
No, no, please bear with my devil's advocacy here. I know, and you know, and you know that I know that one should not negotiate with terrorists, etc., ad nauseum, and that the murder of even one human being is unconscionable. But let me run with this idea for a second here, I think that there's a reasoning that is uncomfortable, but worth exploring.
After Palestinian PM Mahmoud Abbas signed the "Road Map", sidelined groups refused to honor it, mostly because they were not give a seat at the big kid's table. So they launch a fresh wave of attacks. After the militants get their point across, the Israelis gladly responded with an equal amount of ferocity and disregard for civilian life. Hamas and IJ respond in kind, and so on. Fatah meanwhile, continued to battle over its soul. Worth noting, however, is that Israeli assassinations and strikes (Jun 21st & Jun 25th) did occur during cease-fire talks without provocation, that is, they were not a retaliatory move in the "cycle of violence". Instead, it appears they were negotiating in language that both sides understand: Violence, and the ruthlessness to apply it.
The use of violence to advance a bargaining position does negate any charge of "irrelevancy". When you're killing the other parties' civilians, you'e very relevant. More so, if you have a centralized command structure that can turn off violence like a spigot, and implement order and security. Here's the truth, warts and all: If you have the power to command bloodshed, you have the power to stop it.
It's not civilized, it's not pretty, but it does have all of the real-world substance that staged photo-ops, with handshakes for everyone, lack.
From this perspective, and since peace follows defeat or accomodation, I think the "Road Map" is doing very well, indeed.